Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043846 0.047801 0.051817 0.056192 0.060819 0.065558 0.070773
2025-01-05 0.037750 0.043548 0.049657 0.056549 0.064079 0.072033 0.081041
2025-01-12 0.032374 0.039382 0.047026 0.055920 0.065923 0.076765 0.089345
2025-01-19 0.028922 0.036920 0.045917 0.056673 0.069068 0.082795 0.099039
2025-01-26 0.025378 0.033974 0.043936 0.056155 0.070560 0.086830 0.106422
2025-02-02 0.022824 0.031934 0.042784 0.056401 0.072776 0.091587 0.114579
2025-02-09 0.021073 0.030692 0.042433 0.057469 0.075864 0.097302 0.123836
2025-02-16 0.020175 0.030420 0.043190 0.059823 0.080462 0.104802 0.135233
2025-02-23 0.017464 0.027572 0.040523 0.057763 0.079544 0.105610 0.138611
2025-03-02 0.015653 0.025772 0.039061 0.057093 0.080235 0.108280 0.144165
2025-03-09 0.014150 0.024270 0.037880 0.056687 0.081175 0.111200 0.149990
2025-03-16 0.013662 0.024159 0.038528 0.058647 0.085120 0.117846 0.160416
2025-03-23 0.012812 0.023490 0.038409 0.059620 0.087863 0.123106 0.169302
2025-03-30 0.011967 0.022764 0.038166 0.060397 0.090347 0.128061 0.177864
2025-04-06 0.010823 0.021490 0.037075 0.059959 0.091194 0.130924 0.183818
2025-04-13 0.010174 0.020940 0.036983 0.060869 0.093818 0.136064 0.192672
2025-04-20 0.009202 0.019787 0.035940 0.060390 0.094536 0.138727 0.198381
2025-04-27 0.008517 0.019051 0.035470 0.060684 0.096276 0.142705 0.205781
2025-05-04 0.008099 0.018733 0.035604 0.061828 0.099169 0.148199 0.215150
2025-05-11 0.008024 0.019008 0.036655 0.064315 0.103939 0.156202 0.227820
2025-05-18 0.006920 0.017345 0.034593 0.062154 0.102187 0.155527 0.229203
2025-05-25 0.006223 0.016363 0.033551 0.061452 0.102434 0.157483 0.233998
2025-06-01 0.005641 0.015540 0.032720 0.061026 0.103039 0.159900 0.239393